Down to the wire

With one round left before the Super Rugby play-offs there are nine teams who have a chance of cracking the top six.


The top three teams in each conference - the Waratahs, Crusaders and Sharks - have all booked their spots in the knock-out phase of the competition already, but there are only two log points separating the next five teams on the standings.


The Waratahs have had an outstanding season under Michael Cheika and cannot be caught by any other team no matter what happens in their Aussie derby against the Reds in Brisbane. It will be interesting to see whether Cheika plays his full strength team in what is always a fiercely-fought match as resting too many players could have the effect of costing them momentum.


The Crusaders face the Highlanders in one of the key games of the final round which will effectively decide the winner of the New Zealand conference which has been wide open all season with five evenly-matched sides.


The Highlanders can overhaul the seven-time champions by claiming a bonus-point victory by more than seven points in Christchurch, but by the same token a defeat could mean the end of their season if other results do not go their way.


The Sharks will easily top the South African conference, but they will have their eye on second place and an automatic semifinal spot ahead of another gruelling derby against an on-form Stormers side at Newlands.


Jake White's team can earn themselves a bye if they outdo the Crusaders' efforts against the Highlanders on Friday, but it could be a tall order against a confident Stormers outfit in Cape Town.


The key match in the Australian conference this weekend will be between the Brumbies and the Force who will travel to Canberra looking to secure their first-ever play-off spot.


Both teams are locked on 40 points, and could conceivably both go through if results go their way, which should give the match an extra edge.


Incredibly, all five New Zealand sides could still qualify for the play-offs, with the Hurricanes effectively helpless as they have played all their games and get to watch the rest of the matches nervously on their bye weekend.


The eighth-placed defending champion Chiefs get things started on Friday when they travel to Eden Park to face the Blues who have not lost there this season. The Blues need to beat the Chiefs by at least 39 points including four tries to overhaul the Hurricanes on points difference and sneak in.


Any win will do for the Chiefs, whilst the Hurricanes will be hoping that they lose, but not by too much, to the Blues in Auckland.

There will also be a few 'dead rubbers'  with the Lions v Cheetahs and Bulls v Rebels games having no impact on the play-off places at all, whilst it could be argued that the Reds v Waratahs game is also fairly meaningless as the Sydney side have already wrapped up top spot.


Fixtures and possible permutations:


Friday, July 11


Blues v Chiefs


Venue: Eden Park Auckland

Kick-off: 19.35 (07.35 GMT)


Blues: 36 points

Highest possible: sixth

Lowest possible: 11th


Chiefs: 40 points

Highest possible: fourth

Lowest possible: ninth


Brumbies v Force


Venue: Canberra Stadium, Canberra

Kick-off: 19.40 (09.40 GMT)


Brumbies: 40 points

Highest possible: Fourth

Lowest possible: Eighth


Force: 40 points

Highest possible: Fourth

Lowest possible: Eighth


Bulls v Rebels


Venue: Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria

Kick-off: 19.10 (17.10 GMT)


Bulls: 33 points

Highest possible: Ninth

Lowest possible: 12th

Rebels: 21 points

Highest possible: 14th

Lowest possible: 15th


Saturday, July 12


Crusaders v Highlanders


Venue: AMI Stadium, Christchurch

Kick-off: 19.35 (07.35 GMT)


Crusaders: 46 points

Highest possible: Second

Lowest possible: Fourth


Highlanders: 42 points

Highest possible: Second

Lowest possible: Seventh


Reds v Waratahs


Venue: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Kick-off: 19.40 (09.40 GMT)


Reds: 28 points

Highest possible: 10th

Lowest possible: 14th

Waratahs: 53 points

Highest possible: 1st

Lowest possible: 1st


Lions v Cheetahs


Venue: Ellis Park, Johannesburg

Kick-off: 17.05 (15.05 GMT)


Lions: 26 points

Highest possible: 12th

Lowest possible: 14th


Cheetahs: 24 points

Highest possible: 12th

Lowest possible: 15th


Stormers v Sharks


Venue: Newlands, Cape Town

Kick-off: 19.10 (17.10 GMT)


Stormers: 32 points

Highest possible: Ninth

Lowest possible: 12th


Sharks: 46 points

Highest possible: Second

Lowest possible: Third